Why Weather Forecasts Suck

Find out how DeepMind is working to improve ""nowcasting" - https://www.deepmind.com/blog/nowcasting-the-next-hour-of-rain - and learn more about their scholarship program - https://www.deepmind.com/scholarships. There are two types of rain, and one of them is almost impossible to forecast. LEARN MORE ************** To learn more about this topic, start your googling with these keywords: Front: a boundary separating air masses of different characteristics, such as air density, wind, temperature, and humidity Frontal rainfall: occurs when a warm air mass comes in contact with a colder air mass Convectional rainfall: occurs when the sun's energy heats the surface of the Earth, causing water to evaporate to form water vapour Nowcasting: weather forecasting limited to periods less than a few hours SUPPORT MINUTEEARTH ************************** If you like what we do, you can help us!: - Become our patron: https://patreon.com/MinuteEarth - Share this video with your friends and family - Leave us a comment (we read them!) CREDITS ********* David Goldenberg | Script Writer and Director Kate Yoshida | Director Cameron Duke | Narrator Arcadi Garcia i Ruis | Illustration, Video Editing and Animation Nathaniel Schroeder | Music MinuteEarth is produced by Neptune Studios LLC https://neptunestudios.info OUR STAFF ************ Lizah van der Aart • Sarah Berman • Cameron Duke Arcadi Garcia i Rius • David Goldenberg • Melissa Hayes Alex Reich • Henry Reich • Peter Reich Ever Salazar • Leonardo Souza • Kate Yoshida OUR LINKS ************ Youtube | https://youtube.com/MinuteEarth TikTok | https://tiktok.com/@minuteearth Twitter | https://twitter.com/MinuteEarth Instagram | https://instagram.com/minute_earth Facebook | https://facebook.com/Minuteearth Website | https://minuteearth.com Apple Podcasts| https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/minuteearth/id649211176 REFERENCES ************** Ravuri, S., Lenc, K., Willson, M. et al. (2021) Skilful precipitation nowcasting using deep generative models of radar. Nature 597, 672–677. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03854-z Simonin D, Pierce C, Roberts N, Ballard SP and Li Z (2017) Performance of Met Office hourly cycling NWP-based nowcasting for precipitation forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (708): 2862-2873. https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/qj.3136 Sun J, Xue M, Wilson JW, Zawadzki I, Ballard SP, Onvlee-Hooimeyer J, Joe P, Barker DM, Li P, Golding B, Xu M, & Pinto J (2014). Use of NWP for Nowcasting Convective Precipitation: Recent Progress and Challenges, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(3): 409-426. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/95/3/bams-d-11-00263.1.xml Weckwerth T, Parsons DB, Koch SE, Moore JA, Lemone MA, et al. (2004). An Overview of the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002) and Some Preliminary Highlights. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society 85 (2): 253 - 277. https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01651324/file/bams-85-2-253.pdf Wilson, JW, & Roberts RD (2006). Summary of Convective Storm Initiation and Evolution during IHOP: Observational and Modeling Perspective, Monthly Weather Review, 134(1): 23-47. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/134/1/mwr3069.1.xml Ye H, Fetzer EJ, Wong S, and Lambrigtsen BH (2017). Rapid decadal convective precipitation increase over Eurasia during the last three decades of the 20th century. Science Advances 3: e1600944. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.1600944 ______________________________________________________________________________________ TAGS: weather, forecasting, rain, frontal, convection, convection, rainfall